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Lesson 05 count oning & Smoothing Methods Solutions Solved task #1: involve aim text book Solved Problem #2: attain textbook (manual example using seasonal relatives) Solved Problem #3: see textbook Solved Problem #4: see textbook (you do non perplex to do this caper manually, use the template and notice how the template answers dissent meagrely from the seasonal relatives provided in the manual example) To avoid manually entering the data into the templates it can be copied and pasted from entropy Sets on the Lesson Page. Use copy, paste special, values to transfer the data to the template. #1: A commercial bakery has recorded gross gross revenue (in dozens) for tether products, as shown below. blueberry Muffins 30 34 32 34 35 30 34 36 29 31 35 31 37 34 33 cinnamon buns 18 17 19 19 22 23 23 25 24 26 27 28 29 31 33 solar day 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 a. Cupcakes 45 26 27 23 22 48 29 20 14 18 47 26 27 24 22 Determine the Naïve betoken for day 16. Blueberry Muffins 33 Cinnamon buns 33 Day 16 b. Cupcakes 22 What does the use of gross revenue data rather than immanent data imply? gross sales data does not sop up into account the demand which may catch been greater than the certain sales. If the demand was actually greater than sales and the bakery could have met that demand, using sales would cause them to downstairs forecast their in effect(p) business potential.

1 #2: guinea pig Scan, Inc., sells radio frequency archive tags. calendar monthly sales ($000) for a seven-month period were as follows: Month Feb Mar Apr whitethorn Jun Jul Aug a. Plot the monthly data. Historical Da! ta Sales 19 18 15 20 18 22 20 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 degree Sales 5 6 7 8 b. predict September sales volume in thousands of dollars using the spare-time action methods: Show your answers in the space provided. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Naïve Five-month moving sincere Weighted moving average using .60 for August, .30 for July, and .10 for June Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of .20 Linear trend equation. Naive 20...If you want to visualise a full essay, order it on our website: OrderCustomPaper.com

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